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MEN’S FINALS COUNT DOWN
Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Men’s Run Home

Heading into the last fortnight of the regular season, check out the run home for every team that is still eligible for the 2018 playoffs.

Head-to-head results are determined by results in regular season meetings. Should teams finish with a 1-1 record and an equal margin, ladder position is then decided by overall points percentage.

1st Kilsyth Cobras (14-4)
To Come:
Frankston (A), Albury/Wodonga (A)
Can Finish: First-Third

The only team currently locked into a playoff spot, Kilsyth will finish in the top three at least. A rare loss to Sandringham last weekend has not helped their cause but they only need one more win to assure themselves a top-two finish as they own the head-to-head series against Hobart.

2nd Hobart Chargers (12-5)
To Come:
Ballarat (A), Dandenong (A), N/W Tasmania (H)
Can Finish:
First-Ninth

Even after sweeping their road double in Round 13, Hobart have not quite locked in a finals spot due to an upcoming clash with Dandenong that could still see them lose their head-to-head battle. Only one more victory from their last three games will book them a spot in the post-season though and they are currently on a four-game winning streak.

3rd Nunawading Spectres (12-5)
To Come:
Melbourne (H), Sandringham (A), Bendigo (H)
Can Finish: First-Ninth

The Spectres are in a similar predicament to the Chargers as their head-to-head results against Mt. Gambier means they are not quite locked into a playoff spot yet. They have dropped two of their last three games and will take on a Melbourne side fighting for their lives, a rampaging Sabres team that has four win of their last five and the fifth-placed Braves in their run home. However, one win will be enough to secure their place in the playoffs.

4th Ballarat Miners (11-6)
To Come:
Bendigo (A), Hobart (H), Diamond Valley (A)
Can Finish:
Second-Tenth

Ballarat ended a two-game skid against Nunawading last weekend and the victory will give them confidence that they are back on track heading into the finals. Without the season series over Kilsyth, they can only finish as high second but their success against the Spectres means a top-four finish is still on the cards.

5th Bendigo Braves (10-6)
To Come:
Ballarat (H), Geelong (A), Frankston (H), Nunawading (A)
Can Finish:
Second-Eleventh

Bendigo have played the least amount of games of any team left in the finals race which gives them the chance to still move as high as second. The flipside to that is it makes their run home very busy while their nearest rivals below them on the ladder are nipping at their heels. A clash with Balalrat this weekend should decide their top-four chances.

6th Geelong Supercats (10-7)
To Come:
Mt. Gambier (A), Bendigo (H), Canberra (H)
Can Finish:
Second-Eleventh

A four-game winning streak for the Supercats came to an end in Round 13 and after all their hard work, one loss was enough to drop them out of the top four. Their fate is in their own hands though with crucial games coming up against Bendigo and Mt. Gambier and a winnable clash with Canberra to finish things off.

7th Basketball Australia Centre of Excellence (11-8)
To Come:
Albury/Wodonga (H)
Can Finish:
Third-Eleventh

The CoE will have a nervous wait this weekend as they have a bye in Round 14 and several teams below them can narrow the gap and put their top-eight aspirations in jeopardy. With only one game to come, the CoE can only jump as high as third without the head-to-head advantage over Nunawading and having lost to Melbourne by 16 points earlier this year, they can still drop as low as 11th.

8th N/W Tasmania (10-8)
To Come:
Diamond Valley (H), Hobart (H)
Can Finish:
Third-Eleventh

N/W Tasmania split last weekend’s two road games and now own a 2-6 record away from home. They are back in Tassie for their last two matches though which will give them confidence they can hold on to their top-eight placing but they need to beat Hobart by more than 24 points in Round 15 to have any chance of finishing third.

9th Mt. Gambier (9-8)
To Come:
Geelong (H), Melbourne (H), Sandringham (A)
Can Finish:
Third-Eleventh

All seemed lost for Mt. Gambier only a couple of weeks ago but with five consecutive victories, the defending Champions are finishing the regular season with a wet sail. They own the head-to-head against Nunawading which could come in handy should they keep winning but their slow start to the season means there is little room for error in the run home.

10th Dandenong Rangers (9-8)
To Come:
Melbourne (A), Hobart (H), Canberra (H)
Can Finish:
Third-Eleventh

Dandenong recorded an important win over Melbourne last weekend but they must consolidate that victory in their re-match this weekend to own the head-to-head advantage over their current closest rivals. They also have a game to make up on the top eight as well but with a clash to come against Hobart, third place is still an option.

11th Melbourne Tigers (8-9)
To Come:
Nunawading (A), Dandenong (H), Mt. Gambier (A)
Can Finish:
Fifth-Eleventh

The Tigers were flying mid-season but whether they would be able to sustain that momentum was always the question and on the back of five straight losses, we may have our answer. Needing to make up two victories on the top eight, all three remaining games are must-wins, particularly their re-match against Dandenong this weekend which comes on the second day of a double-header for them.